Tampa Bay Market Reports

Submitted by Grubb & Ellis, CB Richard Ellis, Cushman & Wakefield, Colliers Arnold, GVA Advantis, Studley Inc. and Metrostudy. They cover office, industrial, and housing markets throughout the state.
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Tampa office market sees more tenant demand

TAMPA - A growing number of positive indicators, including an increase in job opportunities and a decline in the unemployment rate, provide continued evidence that the Tampa Bay metropolitan statistical area's economy is slowly recovering.

Additionally, existing single-family home prices appear to be stabilizing in the Tampa Bay MSA. The median sales price of homes in the Tampa Bay market hit $129,300 in May 2010, off just 1% when compared to the median home price recorded during the same time last year.

Pinellas office rents hit 4-year low

ST. PETERSBURG - During the second quarter of 2010, the Tampa Bay metropolitan statistical area's economy continued to improve from the extreme downturn that has plagued the area for more than two years. Employment increased by 1,400 new jobs from March 2010 through May 2010. Federal government employment increased by 5,900 over the last three months, though this is primarily due to the temporary workers hired for the 2010 U.S. Census.

Vacancy climbs in Pinellas industrial market

ST. PETERSBURG - During the second quarter of 2010, the Tampa Bay metropolitan statistical area demonstrated that the region's economic recovery has continued to strengthen. The unemployment rate decreased a full percentage point to 11.7% from March through May 2010, and employment increased by 1,400 jobs.

Rebound begins in Lakeland industrial market

LAKELAND - Signs of an economic recovery began to emerge in the Lakeland-Winter Haven metropolitan statistical area during the first half of 2010. The unemployment rate decreased seven-tenths of a percentage point to 12% from year-end 2009 through May 2010 and employment increased by a net of 100 new jobs.

Tampa industrial market takes positive turn

TAMPA - During the second quarter of 2010, the Tampa Bay metropolitan statistical area demonstrated that the region's economic recovery has continued to gain strength. The unemployment rate decreased a full percentage point to 11.7% from March through May 2010, and employment increased by 1,400 jobs.

Improving economy will stabilize Tampa apartments

The pace of employment reductions in the Tampa metro area will ease drastically this year, slowly stabilizing the local apartment market. Recent job losses in specific sectors, however, will sustain performance differences among the property classes.

Since the start of the recession, Class A vacancy has increased 220 basis points, compared with 420 basis points for all properties. The performance of top-tier assets reflects the less severe job cuts that have occurred in predominantly white-collar employment sectors such as professional and business services and financial activities.

Polk industrial waits for signs of recovery

We close out our first quarter of 2010 much the same way we did 2009 - overall vacancy is up, absorption is negative, and average asking rates continue to soften.

Overall vacancy ticked up 490 basis points from this time last year but only 130 basis points from the previous quarter. East Polk, which accounts for 25% of the market, stands at almost 25% overall vacancy. R&D/Flex space in Polk County, a very small part of the market, stands at 46% vacant.

Decline slowing in Tampa industrial market

We close out our first quarter of 2010 with everyone looking for signs of recession recovery. The Tampa Bay industrial market continues to show signs of weakness, but these weaknesses are trending at a slower pace.

Overall vacancy hit the double digits, standing at 10.1%, but this represents only an increase of 30 basis points from last quarter. We continue to see sublease space brought onto the market. Currently there is almost 1 msf of sublease space on the market or 6.7% of the overall vacancy. When sublease space is removed, the Tampa Bay industrial direct vacancy rate stands at 9.4%.

Cap rates climb as Tampa office stabilizes

Tampa Bay’s user and investment office market appeared to stabilize in 1Q10. Tenants and investors alike wade cautiously into the water ahead. Although major industries continue to shed jobs, Tampa has a unique geography and demographic to better weather the recovery.

In 1Q10, cap rates for office product in the U.S. are up approximately 300 basis points from the 2007 peak, according to RCA - U.S. Capital Trends. In addition, the bid- ask spread has widened to nearly 70 basis points with an overall closing cap rate of 8.94%.

Drop in completions a positive for Tampa’s retail market

TAMPA - In 2010, retail construction in Tampa will plunge to only 15% of the average recorded annually for the last decade. Continuing declines in space demand and rents will discourage building and delay the construction of new properties, according to the 2010 National Retail Report by Marcus & Millichap.